Win rate
65.0%
13 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$124
realized $-760 · unrealized $884
Portfolio
$884
volume $6,107
Predictions
146
5.9/day · avg $42
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 40% +$164
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 56¢ | 70¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 48¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 67% +$105
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 29¢ | 25¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 50% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$27 | win |
Recent Trades (20)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $73 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 31.8¢ | 1¢ | $-68 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 29.7¢ | 1¢ | $-49 | $51 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 73.1¢ | 99¢ | +$52 | $155 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $73 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 73.5¢ | 99¢ | +$27 | $96 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $224 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 30.2¢ | 66¢ | +$24 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 29.3¢ | 25¢ | $-7 | $48 | 07/06/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 56.4¢ | 70¢ | +$5 | $32 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 58.5¢ | 61¢ | +$1 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |