EmeraldEdge

Finance 100% +$0 $33 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	84¢	74¢	+$0	win

Economy 50% $-8 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bryan Johnson say "Longevity Score" while tripping balls?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-18	loss

Weather 0% $-10 $31 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Geopolitics 63% $-106 $4,169 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	48¢	70¢	$-26	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	55¢	100¢	$-7	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	78¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	86¢	98¢	+$0	—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?	No	68¢	100¢	+$35	win

Tech 40% $-139 $870 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	46¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Google Trends Parlay	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while tripping balls?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$15	win

Sports 77% $-173 $8,582 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	87¢	100¢	+$9	win
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?	No	86¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?	No	76¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?	Yes	46¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Culture 68% $-236 $2,794 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	48¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?	No	65¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?	No	20¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?	Yes	35¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?	No	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Oscars Bingo	No	40¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 59% $-285 $4,174 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	46¢	34¢	+$5	win
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	Yes	40¢	17¢	$-8	loss
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?	No	48¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-32	loss
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$66	win
Nothing Ever Happens: February	Nothing	89¢	0¢	$-302	loss
Press Briefing Bingo	No	51¢	100¢	+$3	win
State of the Union Bingo - Card 1	No	85¢	100¢	+$25	win

Politics 61% $-314 $4,969 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	12¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Trump name "Delcy" in April?	No	44¢	51¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Medal of Freedom" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	64¢	20¢	$-25	loss
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	35¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Trump say "Waitress" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump say "Russia" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	78¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	83¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Trump say "Pool" during executive order signing today?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$35	win

Elections 49% $-332 $18,524 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	39¢	8¢	+$12	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	81¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	59¢	94¢	+$49	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	41¢	85¢	$-183	loss
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	47¢	85¢	$-132	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	72¢	99¢	+$363	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	79¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	No	81¢	6¢	+$30	win
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	Yes	83¢	98¢	+$29	win

Crypto 82% $-339 $2,230 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	1¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$2	win