Win rate
82.2%
37 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$47,982
realized $-479,291 · unrealized $527,273
Portfolio
$527,273
volume $6,764,188
Predictions
46
0.4/day · avg $147,048
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 87% +$167,895
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$470 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-466 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4,335 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1,271 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3,702 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1,095 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3,429 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-1,104 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7,843 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$954
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$451 | win |
Politics 0% $-351
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-351 | loss |
Elections 80% $-17,210
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$8,416 | win |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2,901 | win |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2,421 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-49,792 | loss |
Other 67% $-103,254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-103,547 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2,258 | win |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2,013 | win |
| Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios | Sabalenka | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-5,100 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | win |
Recent Trades (45)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8,173 | $663,915 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4,409 | $303,304 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4,335 | $44,355 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,766 | $123,755 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$318 | $26,471 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | $18,132 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9,815 | $560,912 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,544 | $271,747 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,711 | $275,188 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4,337 | $295,713 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,073 | $131,474 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,613 | $154,748 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,271 | $124,818 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10,706 | $266,117 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8,828 | $454,580 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5,815 | $401,502 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,702 | $41,050 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$451 | $22,002 | 31/01/2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 90.9¢ | 0¢ | $-103,547 | $103,547 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6,684 | $143,246 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,390 | $115,048 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,095 | $145,763 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$56,329 | $406,261 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8,416 | $10,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,258 | $30,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | Yes | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,013 | $10,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,346 | $39,811 | 31/12/2025 |
| Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios | Sabalenka | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5,100 | $5,100 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18,844 | $244,048 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2,901 | $24,868 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2,421 | $63,864 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8,086 | $100,068 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3,429 | $63,675 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November? | Yes | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$941 | $7,419 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November? | Yes | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1,104 | $21,418 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7,843 | $100,179 | 01/11/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | $-351 | $6,000 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $1,000 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $1,000 | 08/06/2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | $-49,792 | $49,792 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-600 | $260,059 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-145 | $185,052 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | No | 98.2¢ | 98¢ | $-466 | $68,868 | 01/05/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$503 | $41,834 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 78.9¢ | 81¢ | +$470 | $14,224 | 01/01/2027 |