0x3e82...c878

Crypto 55% +$147 $6,221 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	3¢	$-26	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	61¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	74¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	81¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	25¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	57¢	100¢	+$74	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	70¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	27¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	59¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	39¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Geopolitics 64% +$54 $1,104 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	37¢	72¢	+$8	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	62¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	81¢	94¢	+$5	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$12	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	46¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	53¢	64¢	+$105	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	46¢	88¢	+$23	win
Senators vs. Jets	Jets	57¢	0¢	$-50	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	67¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 100% +$35 $80 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Natus Vincere	57¢	100¢	+$23	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)	FURIA	71¢	100¢	+$12	win

Finance 33% $-7 $192 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-8	loss
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	78¢	78¢	+$5	win
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?	Yes	30¢	8¢	$-4	loss

Economy 0% $-11 $1,839 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	87¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-10	loss

Tech 50% $-29 $389 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	61¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 2?	Down	10¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Politics 0% $-40 $506 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?	No	52¢	0¢	$-33	loss

Sports 17% $-169 $1,548 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	12¢	16¢	$-8	loss
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	4¢	2¢	$-39	loss
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	77¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Bengals vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	39¢	0¢	+$8	win
Raiders vs. Texans	Texans	89¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Bills vs. Browns	Bills	87¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Chargers vs. Cowboys	Chargers	40¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Vikings vs. Giants	Vikings	55¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Demoor	14¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$7	win

Elections 71% $-177 $687 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	65¢	64¢	$-2	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	63¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	58¢	61¢	+$6	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	76¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	27¢	1¢	$-264	loss
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	26¢	60¢	+$77	win

Culture 0% $-339 $710 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-339	loss

Other 35% $-1,837 $10,639 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	17¢	10¢	$-16	loss
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	93¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	85¢	84¢	+$0	—
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	84¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	17¢	16¢	$-6	loss
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	67¢	68¢	$-3	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	38¢	56¢	+$35	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	13¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?	No	55¢	100¢	+$32	win
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats	Arizona Wildcats	70¢	100¢	+$9	win