Win rate
74.1%
289 W / 101 L
Total PnL
$-5,194
realized $-126,767 · unrealized $121,573
Portfolio
$121,573
volume $2,506,104
Predictions
423
5.6/day · avg $5,925
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 81% +$3,564
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 48¢ | 38¢ | $-23 | loss |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bulls vs. Suns | Suns | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3,973 | win |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Slovenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Colombia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Geopolitics 69% +$1,005
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$285 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$19 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 82¢ | 74¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$152 | win |
Politics 77% +$433
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | No | 32¢ | 76¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$240 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
Esports 100% +$152
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs | Passion UA | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Natus Vincere | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Mentions 100% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny win 0 Grammys? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Tech 83% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 77¢ | 27¢ | $-498 | loss |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$136 | win |
| Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
Crypto 68% $-658
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$711 | win |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$179 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | 90k | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin -12% daily candle change in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | 52¢ | 64¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 85¢ | 80¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Other 74% $-2,008
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 88¢ | 69¢ | $-510 | loss |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$36 | win |
| Space FDV above $40M one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 74¢ | +$5 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 86¢ | 80¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$42 | win |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | No | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$2 | win |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$191 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$44 | win |
Elections 72% $-9,286
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 33¢ | 18¢ | $-1,597 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 74¢ | $-2,033 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 17¢ | 3¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$29 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$864 | $2,336 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $238 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-864 | $864 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $900 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $29,970 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 56.9¢ | 85¢ | +$692 | $6,456 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $59,940 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $14,615 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,990 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | $206 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 99¢ | +$199 | $14,104 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32.6¢ | 16¢ | $-2,775 | $4,640 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 43.1¢ | 12¢ | $-226 | $309 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $76,408 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,990 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,401 | 10/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $-246 | $246 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $49,910 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $625 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $79 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in March? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $42 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $15,781 | 01/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | $44,688 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$246 | $10,246 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | No | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$234 | $635 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $4,051 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $9,714 | 31/03/2026 |
| Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? | No | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $319 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $6,334 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $2,033 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $991 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $5,228 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $149 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $162 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $934 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $870 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $225 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $20,960 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,117 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | $-86 | $645 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-03-31? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: March | Nothing | 18.7¢ | 60¢ | +$348 | $176 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $1,091 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? | No | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28? | Yes | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $222 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 26/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56.7¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $261 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $19,980 | 22/03/2026 |