Win rate
69.1%
1078 W / 483 L
Total PnL
$-6,892
realized $-9,652 · unrealized $2,760
Portfolio
$2,760
volume $537,899
Predictions
3,573
27.1/day · avg $151
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 80% +$69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 92¢ | 70¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Mentions 67% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 62¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $-6 | loss |
Culture 50% $-441
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 70% $-915
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | 70k | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | 90k | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 41¢ | 82¢ | +$143 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 60¢ | 18¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET | Up | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET | Up | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12AM ET | Up | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8AM ET | Up | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2PM ET | Up | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 38% $-5,978
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | No | 85¢ | 76¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-1,456 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$10 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12PM ET | Up | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $127 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET | Up | 35.6¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12AM ET | Up | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8AM ET | Up | 64.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2PM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2AM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9PM ET | Up | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $490 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12AM ET | Down | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $183 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9AM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8AM ET | Up | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9PM ET | Up | 85.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7PM ET | Up | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3AM ET | Down | 52.1¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | $142 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1AM ET | Down | 56.3¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $211 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | No | 54.6¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $225 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week? | Yes | 45.1¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1PM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $419 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12AM ET | Down | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $137 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3AM ET | Down | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $164 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7PM ET | Down | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $119 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9AM ET | Up | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET | Up | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $41 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12PM ET | Up | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2PM ET | Up | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10AM ET | Up | 83.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET | Up | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6AM ET | Down | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5PM ET | Up | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $44 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4PM ET | Down | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET | Down | 43.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9AM ET | Down | 73.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1PM ET | Up | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9PM ET | Down | 56.7¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2PM ET | Down | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $55 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6AM ET | Down | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $51 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4AM ET | Down | 46.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3PM ET | Down | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $106 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6PM ET | Down | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8AM ET | Down | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $68 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8PM ET | Up | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $44 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 70.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7AM ET | Up | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $64 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4PM ET | Up | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $72 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |