Win rate
56.9%
2813 W / 2135 L
Total PnL
$-473
realized $-1,925 · unrealized $1,452
Portfolio
$1,452
volume $1,832,302
Predictions
7,641
12.7/day · avg $240
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 54% +$15,117
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | win |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Economy 67% +$356
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Wake Forest | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State | Ole Miss | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$287 | win |
| Georgia vs. Mississippi State | Georgia | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Texas vs. Mississippi State | Texas | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Appalachian State vs. Southern Mississippi | Appalachian State | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Arizona State vs. Mississippi State | Arizona State | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Weather 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.29-1.34°C? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Culture 50% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Politics 54% $-177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-522 | loss |
| Will trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-392 | loss |
| Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 22-29? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump tweet 20-29 times Nov 8-15? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump tweet 90-99 times Nov 1-8? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
Crypto 77% $-332
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-1,014 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | loss |
Mentions 35% $-987
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 6-13? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Nov 29-Dec 6? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-276 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Nov 22-29? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times November 15-22? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 8-15? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 1-8? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
Geopolitics 51% $-1,279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 46¢ | 18¢ | +$252 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | win |
| Senators vs. Devils | Senators | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Senators vs. Islanders | Senators | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Senators | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Hurricanes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Senators vs. Lightning | Lightning | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Senators vs. Flames | Senators | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Sports 58% $-3,786
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 47¢ | 46¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins | Milwaukee Brewers | 50¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | Kansas City Royals | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Tampa Bay Rays | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-284 | loss |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-493 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$735 | win |
Elections 44% $-9,961
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-1,774 | loss |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 5¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | win |
| Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | win |
| Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Kamala say "Russia" or "Russian" in her speech after the election is called? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R) | Tran | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $89 | 18/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $42 | 18/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Miami Marlins | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 18/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 30¢ | $-2 | $142 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 73.0¢ | 72¢ | $-2 | $315 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 68.0¢ | 68¢ | $-2 | $224 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | $178 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 62¢ | $-1 | $117 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | $47 | 18/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$278 | $473 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$267 | $1,005 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Miami Marlins | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $233 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Canucks | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | $288 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $498 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $72 | 16/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Chicago White Sox | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-326 | $326 | 16/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Panthers | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$458 | $331 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | $440 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Wild | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | $193 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Avalanche | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | $255 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $302 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Stars | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $112 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $172 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | $336 | 15/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Flyers | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | $197 | 14/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$262 | $252 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Hurricanes | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $195 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $204 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $277 | 14/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $58 | 14/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kraken | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Predators | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $153 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 14/04/2026 |
| Devils vs. Bruins | Devils | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $222 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$221 | $239 | 13/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Maple Leafs | Stars | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $257 | 13/04/2026 |