LuminousVentus

Other 60% +$514 $2,284 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	23¢	25¢	+$11	win
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	15¢	10¢	+$9	win
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	22¢	30¢	+$24	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	44¢	44¢	$-1	loss
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	42¢	43¢	+$1	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	6¢	5¢	$-17	loss
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	19¢	12¢	$-16	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	25¢	26¢	+$2	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	62¢	16¢	$-92	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	27¢	28¢	+$142	win

Crypto 40% +$142 $669 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	Yes	5¢	5¢	$-20	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	36¢	35¢	$-4	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$53	win

Economy 100% +$4 $33 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$4	win

Elections 30% $-144 $1,236 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$13	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	35¢	34¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	46¢	46¢	$-1	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	40¢	40¢	$-3	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	34¢	35¢	+$2	win
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-70	loss

Politics 39% $-384 $2,704 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-38	loss
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$10	win
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	10¢	8¢	$-9	loss
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	10¢	8¢	$-22	loss
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	41¢	48¢	+$15	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	28¢	26¢	$-44	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	41¢	40¢	$-6	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	48¢	40¢	+$24	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	49¢	38¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-85	loss

Geopolitics 30% $-1,410 $5,065 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	25¢	28¢	$-104	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	19¢	18¢	$-9	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	70¢	68¢	+$4	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	24¢	12¢	$-76	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	46¢	42¢	$-98	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	8¢	$-8	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	9¢	6¢	$-29	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	36¢	32¢	$-63	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	22¢	22¢	+$6	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$0	win