Win rate
61.9%
13 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$-22
realized $-641 · unrealized $620
Portfolio
$620
volume $19,577
Predictions
1,132
10.1/day · avg $17
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 62% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Elections 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 25% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (21)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $32 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 29/11/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02? | Yes | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 02/11/2025 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $25 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $25 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $25 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96.1¢ | 96¢ | +$-0 | $43 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83.0¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | $21 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $23 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.6¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $25 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $25 | 07/11/2028 |