nrynry

Mentions 50% +$18 $64 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	26¢	22¢	$-4	loss

Geopolitics 67% +$11 $78 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	74¢	96¢	+$6	win
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	33¢	69¢	+$23	win

Politics 20% $-14 $141 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?	Yes	81¢	88¢	+$4	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.5 on April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Economy 44% $-25 $615 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	84¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$99	win

Sports 25% $-25 $326 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?	No	100¢	100¢	$-6	loss

Culture 42% $-36 $1,316 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?	Yes	82¢	86¢	+$2	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m?	Yes	95¢	96¢	$-9	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$206	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$202	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-24	loss

Weather 14% $-79 $285 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-17	loss

Finance 0% $-85 $87 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	64¢	0¢	$-85	loss

Elections 15% $-114 $923 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	75¢	86¢	+$14	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	99¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Other 36% $-305 $2,650 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	22¢	2¢	$-167	loss
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	91¢	95¢	$-3	loss
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?	No	91¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	93¢	64¢	$-8	loss
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 16, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	99¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	Yes	42¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 13 be between 70 and 75?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 51% $-868 $6,140 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$8	win