Win rate
64.7%
161 W / 88 L
Total PnL
$1,266
realized $-361 · unrealized $1,626
Portfolio
$1,626
volume $74,182
Predictions
610
7.8/day · avg $122
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 72% +$650
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 86¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Elena Rybakina | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva | Jelena Ostapenko | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Wild vs. Stars | Stars | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Senators | 65¢ | 22¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Under | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 58% +$155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 12¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 66¢ | +$6 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$4 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 67¢ | 60¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 73% +$114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Satan666 vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | Satan666 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| LoL: FALKE Esports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season | Movistar KOI Fénix | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
| LoL: Lupus Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EBL Regular Season | Partizan Sangal | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs The goal of all life is death (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | The goal of all life is death | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner | NRG Esports | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Crypto 75% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | No | 92¢ | 88¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 31¢ | 38¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 61¢ | 38¢ | $-29 | loss |
Politics 83% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump say "Trump University" in April? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$9 | win |
Tech 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 67% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 69¢ | 59¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
Elections 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 86¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 0% $-46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Geopolitics 61% $-179
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$5 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | Maryville University | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $56 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Stars | Stars | 54.0¢ | 55¢ | +$1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Senators | 65.0¢ | 22¢ | $-33 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | paiN Gaming | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Under | 61.0¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 54.4¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season | eSuba | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Conviction vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season | Conviction | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Under | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5) | Barça eSports | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: FALKE Esports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season | Movistar KOI Fénix | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 64.6¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | $220 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 63.2¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $166 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.2¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Lupus Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EBL Regular Season | Partizan Sangal | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 60.2¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $112 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs The goal of all life is death (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | The goal of all life is death | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Washington Nationals | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 98¢ | +$24 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Curtis Blaydes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Predators | Predators | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Bruins | Bruins | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | Hurricanes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | Colorado Rockies | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Sabres | 70.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Timofey Skatov | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Sao Leopoldo: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Johan Nikles | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Copa Colsanitas: Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko | Lia Karatancheva | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan | Mayar Sherif | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfi | Dalma Galfi | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 06/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner | NRG Esports | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $44 | 03/04/2026 |