Win rate
70.3%
52 W / 22 L
Total PnL
$43
realized $-1,220 · unrealized $1,264
Portfolio
$1,264
volume $16,744
Predictions
166
6.1/day · avg $101
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 70% +$132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | +$3 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65¢ | 48¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Geopolitics 83% +$73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 72¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 67% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 75% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 74¢ | 64¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 13? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on April 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 57% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 | Under | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
Elections 50% $-160
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 75¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 85¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 82¢ | 4¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 25¢ | 1¢ | $-56 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 50.4¢ | 91¢ | +$22 | $79 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $93 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $164 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $143 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $85 on April 13? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on April 13? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 63.7¢ | 84¢ | +$24 | $82 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$16 | $126 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $90 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 85¢ | +$8 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 82.0¢ | 4¢ | $-2 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | No | 67.8¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 25.2¢ | 1¢ | $-56 | $57 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 51.3¢ | 1¢ | $-62 | $63 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 71.9¢ | 97¢ | +$18 | $53 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 68.2¢ | 4¢ | $-19 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $266 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5 | Under | 52.8¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $75 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5 | Under | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $144 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5 | Under | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $36 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32.8¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $80 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 08/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $666 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 49.8¢ | 91¢ | +$44 | $190 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 52.5¢ | 9¢ | $-12 | $65 | 07/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $22 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | No | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | $25 | 21/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 52¢ | +$3 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 68¢ | +$6 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65.4¢ | 48¢ | $-4 | $41 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $52 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93.9¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $150 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $56 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | Yes | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |