Win rate
48.7%
19 W / 20 L
Total PnL
$14
realized $-982 · unrealized $996
Portfolio
$996
volume $248,147
Predictions
56
2.4/day · avg $4,431
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 60% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63¢ | 61¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 38% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 4¢ | 12¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 92¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 50% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 32¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 50% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 18¢ | 15¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,801 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,816 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $902 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $993 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $902 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $706 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $908 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $916 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | +$8 | $1,129 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 95.9¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $622 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 12¢ | $-0 | $41 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $891 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 91.9¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $1,378 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | $-4 | $907 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $763 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | $31 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $1,025 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,263 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,897 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $1,136 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | $35 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.7¢ | 76¢ | $-21 | $1,927 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $996 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 18.5¢ | 15¢ | $-12 | $421 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $903 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83.6¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | $1,011 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | $473 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $2,154 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 87.9¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | $1,030 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,126 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,029 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $75 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $2,160 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | $109 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | $64 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98.8¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $1,027 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90.3¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $905 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 32¢ | $-14 | $318 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 88.3¢ | 89¢ | $-0 | $1,128 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.9¢ | 27¢ | +$10 | $788 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.9¢ | 17¢ | +$9 | $1,651 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 72.5¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | $1,024 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.9¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $1,036 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,398 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $592 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,010 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $69 | 07/11/2028 |