Win rate
87.3%
96 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$67
realized $-661 · unrealized $728
Portfolio
$728
volume $67,445
Predictions
784
4.5/day · avg $86
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 91% +$494
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 80k | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | Gold | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 91% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Stars vs. Senators | Senators | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Culture 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 2 2025) | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 75% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 8¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 19¢ | 34¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 88¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Nuggets | Pistons | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Colts | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 50% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 86% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $101 | 07/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $609 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $105 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $110 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $594 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $594 | 21/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $684 | 18/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $115 | 17/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $711 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $509 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $60 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $87 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $101 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $51 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $90 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $188 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $353 | 20/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Down | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $101 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | Up | 55.7¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $105 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Down | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $50 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $110 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $513 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 72.7¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $299 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $403 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $156 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Down | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $21 | 12/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 12/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $155 | 12/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $99 | 11/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $98 | 11/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $60 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $61 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $202 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 08/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Up | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $39 | 04/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Up | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 04/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 03/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Down | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 03/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $175 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 31/01/2026 |