Incognitoo

Crypto 85% +$8,485 $802,371 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?	No	99¢	98¢	$-21	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?	No	99¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?	No	96¢	100¢	+$141	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$39	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	92¢	100¢	+$50	win

Geopolitics 87% +$2,712 $596,678 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	83¢	100¢	+$345	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$95	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$29	win
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	$-426	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	$-749	loss
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	$-6,436	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$576	win
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$350	win

Tech 80% +$1,311 $14,959 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 2?	No	94¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$1,025	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$345	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	No	13¢	0¢	$-175	loss

Other 85% +$729 $66,692 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$148	win
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$284	win
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?	No	79¢	100¢	$-713	loss
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-01-04?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Morocco vs. Tanzania end in a draw?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	72¢	100¢	$-240	loss
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$113	win
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$66	win

Economy 50% +$721 $10,394 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$760	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	71¢	100¢	$-39	loss

Politics 75% +$263 $6,503 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	86¢	90¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-197	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$180	win
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	92¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$145	win
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$30	win

Elections 100% +$55 $598 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$13	win

Esports 67% +$20 $860 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)	LNG Esports	79¢	100¢	+$11	win
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)	Oh My God	79¢	0¢	$-63	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)	T1	91¢	100¢	+$72	win

Culture 60% $-134 $2,150 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-153	loss

Finance 90% $-3,488 $120,280 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$33	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Down	100¢	0¢	$-5,599	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$200	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$352	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$67	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?	Down	96¢	100¢	+$668	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$113	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$247	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?	Up	97¢	100¢	+$427	win