Win rate
53.2%
50 W / 44 L
Total PnL
$4,518
realized $-10,390 · unrealized $14,908
Portfolio
$14,908
volume $108,739
Predictions
123
3.0/day · avg $884
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 55% +$4,078
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 22¢ | 40¢ | +$515 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 58¢ | 41¢ | $-62 | loss |
Sports 57% +$553
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 76¢ | 75¢ | $-2 | loss |
| NHL Playoffs: Wild vs. Stars Total Games O/U 5.5 | Over 5.5 | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$2 | win |
| NHL Playoffs: Penguins vs. Flyers Total Games O/U 5.5 | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | win |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights | Knights | 63¢ | 62¢ | $-4 | loss |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 68¢ | 68¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$185 | win |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Flyers | 43¢ | 42¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 40% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | No | 35¢ | 22¢ | +$64 | win |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 3¢ | $-17 | loss |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 33% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 20¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 32¢ | 8¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
Economy 0% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $79 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Oilers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $67 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Kings | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $96 | 08/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Oilers | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $70 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $27 | 04/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $89 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 04/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Oilers | Oilers | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $70 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $48 | 01/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $150 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 8.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $96 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | $140 | 29/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Oilers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$244 | $200 | 25/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | USA | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $140 | 23/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Dominican Rep. | 31.3¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $103 | 23/03/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Oilers | Lightning | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 18/03/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Oilers | Sharks | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? | Yes | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 15/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Oilers | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $60 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $25 | 07/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 07/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $75 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-394 | $394 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $49 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $26 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 22/02/2026 |
| Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden | USA | 73.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $57 | 18/02/2026 |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia | Canada | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $38 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Keshad Johnson win the 2026 NBA dunk contest? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $26 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | No | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $92 | 15/02/2026 |
| Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem? | No | 36.6¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $44 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 68.6¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $157 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H Moneyline | Seahawks | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $31 | 08/02/2026 |
| Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | Under | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 08/02/2026 |
| Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 08/02/2026 |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | Oilers | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 04/02/2026 |