Win rate
66.4%
300 W / 152 L
Total PnL
$-5,214
realized $-6,104 · unrealized $891
Portfolio
$891
volume $106,699
Predictions
515
12.7/day · avg $207
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$366
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 | Over | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs | MOUZ NXT | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner | Nuclear TigeRES | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Mentions 83% +$123
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 80% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
Tech 100% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Culture 100% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Finance 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Crypto 50% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 66% $-209
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) | Wild | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Flames vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 | Under | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | Over | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) | Golden Knights | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Blues | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 | Under | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Politics 67% $-956
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 85¢ | 60¢ | $-212 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 87¢ | 40¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | Yes | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Esports 62% $-1,877
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | RED Canids | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | B8 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-343 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner | Passion UA | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
Other 71% $-2,755
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 85¢ | 66¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 56¢ | 74¢ | +$15 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 56.0¢ | 74¢ | +$15 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43.3¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | RED Canids | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | B8 | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner | Passion UA | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | $255 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 66.8¢ | 0¢ | $-343 | $343 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | 3DMAX | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 53.8¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $150 | 14/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $201 | 14/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $192 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Team Falcons | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $121 | 14/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 58.3¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $75 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | MOUZ | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BetBoom Team | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Tricked (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage | Alliance | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner | Nigma Galaxy | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $108 | 13/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | 1win | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | L1ga Team | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $142 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BetBoom Team | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $141 | 12/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 117.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $106 | 08/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Under | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) | Wild | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Flames vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 | Under | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $120 | 08/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | Over | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $75 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) | Golden Knights | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | Blues | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 65.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 63.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 | Under | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 08/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $78 | 08/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $204 | 08/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Spirit | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 08/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 | Over | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $175 | 07/04/2026 |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5 | Over | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $36 | 07/04/2026 |