Win rate
16.9%
15 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$-1,631
realized $-3,009 · unrealized $1,378
Portfolio
$1,378
volume $262,714
Predictions
101
2.5/day · avg $2,601
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 50% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 70¢ | 74¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 0% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 31% $-305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5 | Over | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5) | Tennessee State Tigers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | Louisville Cardinals | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Sports 12% $-508
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Rangers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Panthers | Kraken | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Spurs | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Jets | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Sharks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Kings | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-810
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Senators | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-731 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,106 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 26/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Rangers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 25/03/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Panthers | Kraken | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Heat | Spurs | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $104 | 23/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Jets | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $67 | 22/03/2026 |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $104 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5) | Tennessee State Tigers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 20/03/2026 |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | Louisville Cardinals | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $81 | 19/03/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $69 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 17/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Kings | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $81 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $111 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $112 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | $126 | 14/03/2026 |
| Blues vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $81 | 12/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Senators | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $79 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | Yes | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 10/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Flyers | Flyers | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $153 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$296 | $121 | 08/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | $144 | 07/03/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Penguins | Penguins | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 06/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Pelicans | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 04/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-731 | $731 | 13/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,344 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,492 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,048 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,725 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,292 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,529 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,344 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,380 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,290 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,331 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $2,714 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,806 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,082 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,256 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,715 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $793 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $890 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,103 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,201 | 20/07/2026 |