zhukov23

Elections 71% +$3,778 $26,141 vol · 64 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	66¢	64¢	$-1	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	39¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	76¢	96¢	+$36	win
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	43¢	30¢	+$6	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$1	win
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Livable Rotterdam (LR) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?	No	62¢	100¢	+$20	win

Other 72% +$543 $34,295 vol · 361 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	39¢	40¢	$-9	loss
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$15	win
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	55¢	100¢	+$6	win
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	73¢	78¢	+$4	win
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	77¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	36¢	1¢	$-12	loss
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	39¢	52¢	+$30	win
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	No	34¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	No	84¢	89¢	+$3	win
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	63¢	26¢	$-69	loss

Geopolitics 69% +$329 $8,736 vol · 108 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	56¢	82¢	+$142	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	37¢	70¢	$-12	loss
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	31¢	18¢	+$7	win
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	81¢	91¢	+$45	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	62¢	74¢	+$41	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	56¢	69¢	+$2	win
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	33¢	12¢	$-52	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	79¢	94¢	+$17	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	$-37	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	35¢	74¢	+$0	—

Sports 79% +$293 $1,797 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	50¢	57¢	+$3	win
Will Endrick sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	73¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Bruno Fernandes sign with a new club during the transfer window?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Bruno Fernandes sign with a new club during the transfer window?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	42¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?	No	52¢	100¢	+$21	win

Politics 68% +$130 $3,036 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-2	loss
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	62¢	76¢	+$22	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	16¢	7¢	$-1	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	58¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?	No	36¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?	No	75¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	85¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	No	77¢	100¢	+$5	win

Crypto 75% +$44 $305 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	82¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	81¢	100¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	85¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Finance 75% +$40 $187 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	50¢	48¢	+$22	win
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	66¢	66¢	$-4	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?	No	61¢	100¢	+$17	win

Tech 100% +$17 $203 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	59¢	68¢	+$4	win

Economy 0% $-2 $34 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-2	loss