0x3A594Cd714983542cF1Df0d45caFF64285C5A364-1756758434184

Elections 63% +$1,240 $11,616 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-206	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$794	win
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$51	win
Will Jara win by 0-3%?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$423	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	84¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	39¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Tech 43% +$222 $3,002 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	32¢	30¢	+$24	win
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	12¢	4¢	+$14	win
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in December?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$55	win
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	20¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Tesla reach $480 in November?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Politics 45% +$219 $742 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	61¢	64¢	+$12	win
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Jeannette Jara win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$262	win
Will Evelyn Matthei win between 12% and 15% of votes in the first round?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-59	loss

Sports 56% +$99 $2,420 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
76ers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	39¢	0¢	+$28	win
Pelicans vs. Bulls	Bulls	54¢	100¢	+$261	win
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	56¢	100¢	+$196	win
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	38¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Nuggets vs. Raptors	Raptors	65¢	0¢	$-480	loss
Warriors vs. Hornets	Warriors	76¢	100¢	+$216	win
Magic vs. Pacers	Magic	55¢	100¢	+$27	win
Warriors vs. Hornets	Hornets	33¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Magic vs. Pacers	Pacers	41¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Culture 0% $-45 $121 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Finance 0% $-113 $602 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	97¢	79¢	$-113	loss

Geopolitics 53% $-477 $4,515 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	44¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	63¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	2¢	0¢	+$32	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	$-257	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	4¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	42¢	100¢	+$13	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-70	loss

Other 40% $-1,306 $33,953 vol · 194 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	78¢	78¢	+$25	win
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26¢	30¢	+$18	win
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	10¢	12¢	+$6	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	29¢	43¢	+$2	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Yes	12¢	18¢	$-97	loss
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-16	loss
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	27¢	14¢	$-2	loss
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	12¢	14¢	+$48	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	32¢	35¢	+$20	win
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	24¢	26¢	+$23	win

Crypto 24% $-1,571 $6,726 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	22¢	44¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	46¢	100¢	+$308	win
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20¢	14¢	$-10	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	8¢	2¢	$-111	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	6¢	0¢	+$380	win
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Will Solana reach $110 in March?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	7¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $68,500 on March 8?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$62	win