Win rate
75.0%
30 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$349
realized $-2,797 · unrealized $3,146
Portfolio
$3,146
volume $33,552
Predictions
93
0.9/day · avg $361
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 80% +$308
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
| Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 86% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $162? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Levante UD vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 24? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $114k August 11–17? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 67% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 75¢ | 28¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 50% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 55¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72¢ | 71¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 76¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | win |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Geopolitics 71% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 74¢ | 25¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by February 28? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 50% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 78¢ | 62¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Recent Trades (41)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $250 | 31/03/2026 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $3,958 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $2,850 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $162? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $2,981 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $144 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $142 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 24? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $120 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,161 | 25/01/2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | No | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $463 | 31/12/2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $53 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025? | No | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $58 | 31/10/2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $67 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $52 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $114 | 01/09/2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | No | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $99 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $79 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $64 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Levante UD vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $72 | 23/08/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $114k August 11–17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $90 | 18/08/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $77 | 04/08/2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $65 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $60 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 31/12/2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/12/2024 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $130 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $65 | 01/01/1970 |
| US forces enter Iran by February 28? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 76.0¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72.0¢ | 71¢ | $-1 | $50 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | No | 55.0¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | $69 | 19/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 78.0¢ | 62¢ | $-10 | $50 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $2,983 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 74.4¢ | 25¢ | $-27 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 74.6¢ | 28¢ | $-14 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90.7¢ | 90¢ | $-52 | $2,744 | 31/12/2026 |