kekkone

Other 78% +$42,879 $325,799 vol · 298 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	60¢	34¢	$-282	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	72¢	84¢	+$102	win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	78¢	92¢	+$1	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-73	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	$-2	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	42¢	64¢	+$217	win
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	83¢	94¢	+$21	win
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	71¢	82¢	+$54	win
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	65¢	97¢	+$133	win

Geopolitics 77% +$40,999 $762,193 vol · 424 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	43¢	0¢	$-1,247	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$274	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	46¢	0¢	+$216	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	27¢	0¢	$-3,475	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	65¢	0¢	$-294	loss
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	64¢	84¢	+$47	win
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	No	73¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	31¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-25	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	49¢	17¢	$-42	loss

Politics 74% +$19,821 $264,804 vol · 407 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$918	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	59¢	84¢	+$481	win
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	54¢	84¢	+$75	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-44	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	84¢	92¢	$-126	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	+$53	win
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$93	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	52¢	64¢	+$266	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	68¢	70¢	+$10	win

Economy 82% +$4,761 $74,498 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-6	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$536	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	+$112	win
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?	No	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$10	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	74¢	100¢	+$291	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$449	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$120	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$7	win
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$391	win

Tech 72% +$3,152 $29,102 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?	No	44¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	86¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$735	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	No	35¢	0¢	+$297	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$166	win
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	No	56¢	100¢	+$133	win
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	53¢	0¢	+$83	win

Elections 67% +$2,250 $193,808 vol · 172 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	75¢	66¢	$-436	loss
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	72¢	100¢	+$244	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	68¢	100¢	$-56	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$183	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$34	win
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	No	60¢	100¢	+$128	win

Crypto 73% +$2,118 $20,875 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$448	win
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	90¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	No	83¢	100¢	+$1,049	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	67¢	100¢	+$396	win
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	50¢	100¢	+$68	win
US national Solana reserve in 2025?	No	40¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	48¢	0¢	+$55	win
US national XRP reserve in 2025?	No	44¢	100¢	+$46	win
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$10	win
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	No	34¢	100¢	$-36	loss

Sports 80% +$577 $16,216 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	82¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	25¢	100¢	$-150	loss
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$165	win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	58¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	26¢	0¢	$-408	loss
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	90¢	100¢	+$439	win
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$368	win
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	74¢	100¢	$-26	loss

Mentions 100% +$112 $686 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "vaccine" be in the manifesto?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win

Finance 67% +$15 $591 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next James Bond be British?	No	36¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will FBI send Pam Bondi the full Epstein files by Friday?	No	72¢	100¢	+$43	win

Culture 17% $-699 $12,391 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-347	loss
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Henry Kissinger be named in Epstein files?	No	49¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will 'NINJA KAMUI' win Crunchyroll's Best Original Anime Award for 2025?	No	68¢	0¢	$-274	loss