sam52727482916

Tech 100% +$67 $227 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon reach $260 in April?	Yes	44¢	53¢	+$32	win

Geopolitics 50% $-33 $244 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	44¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$10	win

Finance 56% $-357 $2,164 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	15¢	10¢	$-20	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	42¢	52¢	$-19	loss
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	47¢	76¢	+$106	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$140	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	50¢	66¢	+$101	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-765	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	48¢	61¢	+$0	—

Other 24% $-1,682 $6,010 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	27¢	37¢	+$16	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	6¢	6¢	$-25	loss
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	48¢	66¢	+$10	win
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	61¢	98¢	$-29	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	2¢	0¢	$-165	loss
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	9¢	2¢	+$296	win
Will SOFR hit 3.74% (High) between April 1 and April 30?	No	52¢	76¢	+$12	win
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-131	loss
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the April Meeting?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-139	loss

Economy 22% $-3,592 $7,899 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	10¢	8¢	+$32	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-183	loss
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	65¢	96¢	$-14	loss
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	5¢	4¢	$-29	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1,959	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	6¢	+$63	win
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-32	loss