0x3988...7a45

Geopolitics 60% +$829 $15,693 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67¢	76¢	$-3	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-9	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$836	win

Other 100% +$70 $1,577 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$7	win
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	77¢	85¢	+$9	win
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	77¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	77¢	99¢	+$26	win

Elections 60% +$8 $1,043 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	65¢	66¢	+$2	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	94¢	75¢	$-5	loss
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss

Politics 100% +$8 $983 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win

Economy 100% +$1 $64 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 100% +$0 $219 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win