polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
37.0%
20 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$15,274
realized $-4,586 · unrealized $19,860
Portfolio
$19,860
volume $452,867
Predictions
54
0.9/day · avg $8,386

PnL history

Details

Joined05/06/2024
Last activity17/04/2026
Profiled at17/04/2026
Qualifiedno

Category breakdown

Geopolitics 57% +$13,920 $64,417 vol · 14 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
US forces enter Iran by December 31? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $-128 loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 33¢ 16¢ $-3,891 loss
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes 12¢ 12¢ +$8 win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $-78 loss
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $-14 loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes 74¢ 100¢ +$8,747 win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes 40¢ 100¢ +$683 win
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? Yes $-400 loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $-1,223 loss
Other 17% +$5,827 $12,395 vol · 12 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 39¢ 78¢ +$7,725 win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 41¢ 55¢ +$575 win
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 36¢ $-300 loss
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? No 78¢ $-1,400 loss
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? Yes 44¢ $-160 loss
Sports 43% +$2,369 $16,656 vol · 7 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes $-497 loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? No 28¢ $-413 loss
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Yes 27¢ $-585 loss
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Yes 82¢ 100¢ +$841 win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? Yes 69¢ 100¢ +$143 win
Economy 0% $-252 $252 vol · 1 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? Yes 48¢ $-252 loss
Politics 33% $-1,161 $18,788 vol · 15 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? Yes 62¢ 100¢ +$113 win
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? Yes 12¢ $-200 loss
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? Yes 23¢ $-200 loss
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 12¢ $-1,440 loss
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Yes 29¢ $-849 loss
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? No 47¢ 100¢ +$178 win
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? Yes +$70 win
Biden drops out by July 4? Yes $-100 loss
Elections 40% $-5,920 $11,120 vol · 5 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes $-150 loss
Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes 72¢ 100¢ +$329 win
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 43¢ $-5,988 loss

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Yes 36.4¢ 100¢ +$1,312 $800 15/04/2026
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 6.0¢ $-43 $50 13/04/2026
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 2.4¢ $-50 $50 13/04/2026
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 8.1¢ $-50 $50 13/04/2026
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 5.9¢ $-79 $100 13/04/2026
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 5.3¢ $-100 $100 13/04/2026
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 5.4¢ $-100 $100 13/04/2026
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 7.3¢ $-192 $200 13/04/2026
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 36.4¢ $-300 $300 13/04/2026
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? No 78.0¢ $-1,400 $1,400 13/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? Yes 77.0¢ 100¢ +$24 $100 10/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes 45.3¢ 100¢ +$1,912 $1,797 07/04/2026
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Yes 23.7¢ 100¢ +$3,060 $950 04/04/2026
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Yes 27.3¢ $-585 $585 04/04/2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Yes 74.5¢ 100¢ +$8,747 $25,982 31/03/2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes 40.4¢ 100¢ +$683 $467 28/02/2026
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Yes 82.1¢ 100¢ +$841 $3,847 18/02/2026
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? Yes 69.4¢ 100¢ +$143 $10,053 09/02/2026
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? Yes 4.2¢ $-400 $400 31/01/2026
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 8.5¢ $-150 $150 04/11/2025
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 2.1¢ +$0 $25 05/11/2024
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 11.8¢ $-110 $200 05/11/2024
Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes 72.0¢ 100¢ +$329 $2,767 04/11/2024
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 42.5¢ $-5,988 $7,978 04/11/2024
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? Yes 47.7¢ $-252 $252 18/09/2024
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? Yes 61.9¢ 100¢ +$113 $187 31/08/2024
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31? Yes 44.0¢ $-160 $160 31/08/2024
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? Yes 11.5¢ $-200 $200 31/08/2024
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? Yes 22.7¢ $-200 $200 31/08/2024
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 46.7¢ 100¢ +$1,226 $2,078 22/08/2024
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 9.9¢ $-50 $50 22/08/2024
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 7.3¢ $-80 $112 22/08/2024
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 68.0¢ $-233 $2,685 22/08/2024
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes 12.5¢ $-1,440 $1,256 22/08/2024
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Yes 86.9¢ 100¢ +$626 $6,520 19/08/2024
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Yes 4.0¢ $-25 $189 19/08/2024
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? No 47.5¢ 100¢ +$178 $3,255 18/08/2024
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Yes 21.5¢ $-195 $350 18/08/2024
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Yes 29.0¢ $-849 $1,507 18/08/2024
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? Yes 6.9¢ +$70 $100 31/07/2024
Biden drops out by July 4? Yes 7.9¢ $-100 $100 04/07/2024
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Yes 53.8¢ 100¢ $-1,223 $4,077 01/01/1970
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Yes 40.8¢ 55¢ +$575 $1,700 30/04/2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes 64.3¢ 100¢ +$2,829 $9,907 30/04/2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes 39.4¢ 78¢ +$7,725 $8,186 31/05/2026
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes 11.6¢ $-181 $216 10/06/2026
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? No 28.0¢ $-413 $500 10/06/2026
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes 6.1¢ $-497 $505 10/06/2026
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? Yes 55.9¢ 100¢ +$4,138 $5,246 30/06/2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 33.0¢ 16¢ $-3,891 $6,884 31/12/2026