Win rate
55.9%
675 W / 533 L
Total PnL
$761
realized $-1,040 · unrealized $1,802
Portfolio
$1,802
volume $271,904
Predictions
3,556
63.2/day · avg $76
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 55% +$581
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 79¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Other 56% +$219
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 72¢ | 27¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka | Stan Wawrinka | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Esports 60% +$201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | TheMongolz | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | TheMongolz | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | Team Falcons | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Geopolitics 62% +$154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$7 | win |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 77¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$38 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
Culture 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Tech 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 50% $-55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 4? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Politics 40% $-123
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 82¢ | 40¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $118 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $108 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 57.6¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 44.9¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16? | No | 55.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 66.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 86.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 53.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres | 49.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 49.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Wild | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 49.1¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Flames | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 41.1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $75 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 39.6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 42.1¢ | 100¢ | +$193 | $140 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $130 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 50.8¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Blues | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $92 | 14/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 42.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 64.3¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $38 | 14/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 50.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 64.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $54 | 14/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 45.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Wild | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Oilers | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 65.6¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $170 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 57.7¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 33.6¢ | 0¢ | +$439 | $580 | 13/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 41.2¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $109 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Panthers | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $84 | 13/04/2026 |