Win rate
45.0%
68 W / 83 L
Total PnL
$1,110
realized $87 · unrealized $1,022
Portfolio
$1,022
volume $66,039
Predictions
209
1.5/day · avg $316
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 64% +$628
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$300 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$255 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 50¢ | 85¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Maria | Sloane Stephens | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3) | Vivo Keyd Stars | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Weather 100% +$180
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
Sports 43% +$169
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Stars | Stars | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Blue Jackets | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Tech 20% +$148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| OpenAI browser by October 24? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$356 | win |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$85 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 70¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will anyone say "Russia" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Israel military action against Iraq by Friday? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israel military action against Iraq by Friday? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
Politics 50% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Trump say "SNAP" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 20-26) | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Chip" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Trump say “Trans / Transgender” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 13? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Culture 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Finance 29% $-118
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone say "Grand Theft Auto" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Crypto 47% $-309
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET | Down | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET | Up | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $150 | 14/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Maria | Sloane Stephens | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $125 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Stars | Stars | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Blue Jackets | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $161 | 11/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Oilers | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$306 | $500 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 09/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | $250 | 08/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Suns | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 08/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $180 | 06/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Knicks | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Up | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Sabres | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 06/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Lakers | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26? | Yes | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/11/2025 |
| Heat vs. Lakers | Lakers | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $94 | 03/11/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $30 | 02/11/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 02/11/2025 |
| Will Trump say "SNAP" during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 02/11/2025 |
| Spread: Raptors (-5.5) | Grizzlies | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/11/2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | No | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $100 | 31/10/2025 |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Blue Jays | 39.9¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $62 | 28/10/2025 |
| Texans vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $50 | 28/10/2025 |
| Falcons vs. 49ers | 49ers | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $150 | 27/10/2025 |
| Saints vs. Bears | Saints | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 20-26) | No | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 26/10/2025 |
| Eagles vs. Vikings | Vikings | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 26/10/2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 24? | No | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $43 | 24/10/2025 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Lakers | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 22/10/2025 |
| Jets vs. Flames | Jets | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $50 | 21/10/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET | Down | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $30 | 21/10/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 21/10/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 21/10/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET | Up | 58.8¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $250 | 21/10/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 20/10/2025 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3) | Vivo Keyd Stars | 49.7¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $50 | 19/10/2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET | Up | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $21 | 19/10/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $25 | 19/10/2025 |