KrootKhan

Elections 67% +$8 $182 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	66¢	60¢	$-14	loss
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	73¢	74¢	+$4	win

Other 33% $-42 $199 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71¢	66¢	$-2	loss
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	39¢	40¢	+$4	win
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	17¢	6¢	$-44	loss

Politics 25% $-61 $1,266 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	17¢	16¢	$-12	loss
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	84¢	60¢	$-52	loss
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 57% $-116 $2,001 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	57¢	84¢	+$147	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	54¢	32¢	$-29	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$36	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	41¢	5¢	$-75	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	52¢	100¢	+$86	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition	No	70¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	No	93¢	100¢	+$9	win