Win rate
29.0%
27 W / 66 L
Total PnL
$-1,906
realized $-3,583 · unrealized $1,677
Portfolio
$1,677
volume $234,474
Predictions
104
2.1/day · avg $2,255
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 40% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Geopolitics 79% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$340 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-330 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 0% $-87
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FaZe | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
Sports 6% $-1,761
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-1,582 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Jets | Jets | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Canucks | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | win |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,582 | $1,582 | 09/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$340 | $160 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-330 | $830 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $81 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,283 | 15/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Jets | Jets | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 11/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $73 | 09/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FaZe | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 09/03/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Canucks | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $88 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $88 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | $142 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $95 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $102 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 04/02/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $189 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $44 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,357 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,337 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,270 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,027 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,122 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $123 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,366 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,629 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,900 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,379 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,116 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,149 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,361 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,533 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,701 | 01/07/2026 |