matachod

Culture 74% +$1,372 $210,322 vol · 118 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	No	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	No	92¢	0¢	$-253	loss
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$35 $303 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	+$28	win
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$7	win

Economy 40% +$14 $394 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	No	92¢	100¢	$-0	loss
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	29¢	100¢	$-8	loss

Elections 33% +$13 $463 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?	No	83¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?	No	71¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Politics 70% +$1 $12,903 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?	No	75¢	0¢	$-215	loss
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$19	win
Fact Check: Was it an attempt on Trump?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Tech 50% $-8 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?	No	76¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?	No	37¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 57% $-158 $11,705 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $47–51M?	No	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Framework Review speech on May 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-336	loss
Bills vs. Jets	Bills	81¢	100¢	$-7	loss

Other 55% $-9,657 $154,002 vol · 196 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.00 in March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?	No	81¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 70?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?	No	98¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will 'Bring Her Back' gross between $5.5-6.5m opening weekend?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will 'Bring Her Back' gross between $3.5-4.5m opening weekend?	No	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?	No	97¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-2,013	loss

Crypto 97% $-15,479 $1,205,491 vol · 7315 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	97¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 5?	Negative	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$7	win