Win rate
52.9%
9 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$-144
realized $-952 · unrealized $807
Portfolio
$807
volume $20,321
Predictions
18
0.5/day · avg $1,129
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$232
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$208 | win |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Elections 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$41 | win |
Geopolitics 43% $-467
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $-21 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 68¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | loss |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 23.1¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | $486 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 99¢ | +$208 | $885 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | Yes | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $99 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | +$67 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $523 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 69.0¢ | 68¢ | $-5 | $251 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 73.0¢ | 46¢ | $-320 | $882 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 1¢ | $-21 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 55.3¢ | 66¢ | +$41 | $210 | 07/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $26 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 56.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $452 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $422 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 34.1¢ | 100¢ | $-51 | $171 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 31/12/2026 |