Win rate
94.9%
1275 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$2,654
realized $-37,535 · unrealized $40,188
Portfolio
$40,188
volume $529,751
Predictions
1,971
25.2/day · avg $269
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 96% +$1,730
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA reach $264 in April? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Google reach $355 in April? | No | 94¢ | 53¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Tesla reach $488 in April? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Apple reach $324 in April? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Microsoft reach $570 in April? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon reach $296 in April? | No | 98¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Meta reach $860 in April? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April? | Yes | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April? | Yes | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of April? | Yes | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | win |
Other 92% +$321
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | Yes | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$224 | win |
| Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Palantir reach $222 in April? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $265 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 93% +$309
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 19? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 19? | No | 75¢ | 71¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 18? | No | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 100% +$244
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $610 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 18975 (LOW) in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 98% +$63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix reach $228 in April? | No | 98¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 30 above $130? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix reach $455 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of March? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $40 end of March? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 16 above $120? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $120? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $80? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April? | Yes | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 92% $-1,204
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $206 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $172 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $219 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $153 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 17? | No | 95.7¢ | 97¢ | +$24 | $1,691 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,045 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $924 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $907 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17? | No | 95.5¢ | 98¢ | +$25 | $864 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 17? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $860 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $766 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $762 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $612 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $554 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $478 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 17? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $400 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $396 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 63°F or below on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $371 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $332 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $316 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or below on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $294 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 90°F or higher on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $256 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $130 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $112 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 17? | No | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 34°C on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 17? | No | 93.8¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 33°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $190 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $93 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 15? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $296 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $398 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $598 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $395 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $498 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $207 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $394 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $298 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |