Win rate
46.5%
113 W / 130 L
Total PnL
$-19,952
realized $-29,830 · unrealized $9,878
Portfolio
$9,878
volume $1,048,229
Predictions
238
0.4/day · avg $4,404
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 58% +$5,915
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-678 | loss |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2,048 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | loss |
| Will Shayne say "Biden" during 60 Minutes? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump pardon both turkeys? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$750 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Gobble? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week? (November 3 - 9) | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Esports 60% +$3,785
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$658 | win |
| League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX | BNK FEARX | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$1,800 | win |
| League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. Disguised | Disguised | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARX | BNK FEARX | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$1,625 | win |
| League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARX | OKSavingsBank | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
Economy 100% +$856
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$581 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-345
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-345 | loss |
Tech 33% $-492
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 6¢ | $-19 | loss |
| MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-520 | loss |
Finance 12% $-555
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Applied Digital (APLD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
| Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-321 | loss |
| Will AZZ (AZZ) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 8¢ | 100¢ | +$438 | win |
| Will Richardson Electronics (RELL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Penguin Solutions (PENG) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-4,886
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Tails | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,046 | loss |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | No | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$542 | win |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-4,090 | loss |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-292 | loss |
Sports 47% $-10,998
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 16¢ | 2¢ | $-80 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) | Mandel Nallo | 60¢ | 57¢ | $-173 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims) | Marcio Barbosa | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1,177 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | JJ Aldrich | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | Melissa Croden | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | Chris Padilla | 98¢ | 50¢ | $-1,388 | loss |
| UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Francisco Prado | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | No Run | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3,000 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) | Alessandro Costa | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
Other 48% $-13,465
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | win |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-964 | loss |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$777 | win |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$5,792 | win |
| Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-401 | loss |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-795 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-1,472 | loss |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-3,972 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) | Mandel Nallo | 60.0¢ | 57¢ | $-173 | $4,200 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims) | Marcio Barbosa | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,177 | $4,466 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | JJ Aldrich | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $180 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | Melissa Croden | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $4,198 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | Chris Padilla | 98.0¢ | 50¢ | $-1,388 | $2,834 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Francisco Prado | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $118 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | No Run | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,000 | $3,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | $5,840 | 07/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims) | Alessandro Costa | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $150 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Alexa Grasso win by KO or TKO? | Yes | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $963 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims) | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $321 | 29/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,301 | $3,435 | 17/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Elijah Smith | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$435 | $1,065 | 15/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$658 | $987 | 16/02/2026 |
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Tails | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,046 | $1,046 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds? | Yes | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $-406 | $406 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 03/02/2026 |
| UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | Sulangrangbo | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,761 | $2,665 | 01/02/2026 |
| UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card) | Silva | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,351 | $4,884 | 25/01/2026 |
| UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | Bukauskas | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,000 | $4,000 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | +$777 | $241 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-964 | $2,027 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes? | No | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-882 | $959 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 0¢ | $-678 | $678 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? | No | 37.7¢ | 100¢ | +$542 | $328 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $96 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | No | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4,090 | $4,088 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,792 | $4,940 | 31/12/2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,048 | $10,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? | No | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$860 | $1,639 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense? | No | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $-401 | $401 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | $420 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-795 | $836 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,472 | $4,022 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | No | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3,972 | $3,971 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | No | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,417 | $1,442 | 31/12/2025 |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Demoor | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,578 | $395 | 20/12/2025 |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 20/12/2025 |
| US strike on Syria by December 19? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 14/12/2025 |
| UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Dvalishvili | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,235 | $1,235 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Shayne say "Domer" or "Domah" or "Car" or "aenews" during 60 Minutes? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $1,278 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Shayne say "Biden" during 60 Minutes? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Shayne say "Venezuela" during 60 Minutes? | No | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $162 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon both turkeys? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$750 | $750 | 25/11/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Gobble? | Yes | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $242 | 25/11/2025 |
| Texans vs. Titans | Titans | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | $811 | 23/11/2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | +$409 | $91 | 21/11/2025 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | $1,000 | 21/11/2025 |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Eagles | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $1,000 | 18/11/2025 |