Win rate
44.7%
17 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$21
realized $-898 · unrealized $918
Portfolio
$918
volume $239,734
Predictions
68
2.1/day · avg $3,526
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 59% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 24¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
Elections 50% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 88¢ | 42¢ | +$3 | win |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 44¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | loss |
Economy 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 25% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 28¢ | 38¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 70¢ | 62¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $591 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $29 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $2,634 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $1,071 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $102 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,306 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $78 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $683 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $879 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $331 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $107 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $71 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $260 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $174 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,190 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $122 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $31 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,513 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $527 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the Rams win the NFC Championship? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $358 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the Rams win the NFC Championship? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $293 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship? | No | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $1,814 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Yes | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $156 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Yes | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,216 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | No | 26.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $933 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $832 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4.8¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $46 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $828 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | $2,478 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $825 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | $832 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $891 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 38¢ | +$0 | $450 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 70.0¢ | 62¢ | $-9 | $1,565 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.2¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $1,617 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | $910 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 22¢ | +$21 | $196 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $833 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 24.0¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $180 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $31 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.6¢ | 75¢ | +$15 | $899 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 25.4¢ | 25¢ | +$1 | $213 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $28 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $41 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95.3¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $1,501 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 17.5¢ | 15¢ | +$6 | $180 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.5¢ | 85¢ | +$5 | $2,570 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $41 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94.2¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | $810 | 01/07/2026 |