sparkybeme2

Crypto 100% +$3 $92 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 40% +$1 $181 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	55¢	54¢	$-1	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	80¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	87¢	90¢	+$1	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	85¢	95¢	+$2	win

Culture 0% $-2 $85 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	59¢	58¢	$-1	loss

Sports 17% $-2 $533 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	93¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	No	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	94¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	88¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	87¢	86¢	$-1	loss

Elections 18% $-9 $514 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	93¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	83¢	75¢	$-3	loss
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	No	93¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	Yes	94¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-2	loss

Politics 0% $-11 $660 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	93¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	94¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	93¢	+$-0	loss
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	94¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	94¢	93¢	$-0	loss

Other 45% $-612 $3,501 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	93¢	93¢	+$0	win
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	94¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	94¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	13¢	5¢	$-15	loss
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	94¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	Yes	13¢	6¢	$-16	loss
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	88¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	88¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?	No	95¢	96¢	+$1	win