Win rate
92.2%
1282 W / 109 L
Total PnL
$3,455
realized $1,528 · unrealized $1,927
Portfolio
$1,927
volume $510,792
Predictions
1,855
12.4/day · avg $275
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 92% +$2,516
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C or higher on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 40°F or higher on April 20? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 20? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C or higher on April 20? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C or higher on April 18? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $91 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $107 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 17? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $673 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $496 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $297 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 15? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $174 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 15? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $465 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $257 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on April 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $198 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on April 15? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 15? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $85 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 14? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $480 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on April 14? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on April 14? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $111 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on April 13? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $540 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on April 13? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $471 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 13? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $356 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $183 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $176 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $175 | 13/04/2026 |