Win rate
70.6%
72 W / 30 L
Total PnL
$417
realized $-268 · unrealized $685
Portfolio
$685
volume $45,775
Predictions
430
7.8/day · avg $106
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 80% +$266
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 50¢ | 45¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April? | No | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Finance 67% +$81
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 86¢ | +$46 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
Politics 90% +$46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $100 in February? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 59% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | No | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 36¢ | 19¢ | $-2 | loss |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 50% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? | Yes | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Weather 50% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $202 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 35.6¢ | 19¢ | $-2 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $82 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 48.3¢ | 19¢ | +$31 | $186 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 65.3¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $51 | 07/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? | Down | 46.6¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 59.8¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $503 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $390 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 59.7¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $61 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $235 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $71 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March? | Yes | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $134 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $150 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | No | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $68 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | No | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 7? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $107 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 69.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $79 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | 55.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31? | No | 79.4¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $195 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $165 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | $244 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | No | 77.1¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $303 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | No | 78.5¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $100 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20? | No | 85.4¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $430 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 10/03/2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | No | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $40 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February? | No | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in February? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $100 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? | Yes | 89.9¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $74 | 01/03/2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | No | 60.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | Yes | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $22 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 28/02/2026 |