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0x3597FdBC1510b6866f69D191949F919ba0d63e48-1774323907619
0x3597fdbc1510b6866f69d191949f919ba0d63e48 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
34.4%
88 W / 168 L
Total PnL
$-347
realized $-952 · unrealized $605
Portfolio
$605
volume $112,683
Predictions
425
16.7/day · avg $265
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 45% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 37¢ | 26¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 62¢ | 74¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 73¢ | 60¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74¢ | 64¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 20¢ | 36¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Giles Hussey | Fajing Sun | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Finance 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Mentions 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 36% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 54¢ | 66¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | No | 65¢ | 85¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 29¢ | 15¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | Yes | 31¢ | 15¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 16¢ | $-8 | loss |
Politics 33% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 41¢ | 28¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 42¢ | 50¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 24¢ | 42¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 17¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | loss |
Esports 20% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner | Cloud9 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Nemiga Gaming | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner | Astralis | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 27% $-122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 63¢ | 60¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 20¢ | 6¢ | $-8 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 56¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 49¢ | +$1 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 57¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 69¢ | 43¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Crypto 35% $-159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 67¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 49¢ | 49¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3AM ET | Up | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET | Up | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Sports 25% $-222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 58¢ | 55¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Elena Rybakina | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Iga Swiatek | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | New York Mets | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Linda Noskova | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 43¢ | 42¢ | $-37 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3AM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET | Up | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Magic | 52.0¢ | 54¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Under | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5AM ET | Down | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4AM ET | Down | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6AM ET | Up | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3AM ET | Up | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7PM ET | Down | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |