Olcan

Other 73% +$8,831 $139,444 vol · 466 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	86¢	92¢	+$0	—
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	66¢	91¢	+$33	win
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	83¢	89¢	+$18	win
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	78¢	88¢	+$16	win
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	74¢	94¢	+$11	win
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	94¢	+$6	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	90¢	93¢	+$2	win
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	40¢	16¢	+$0	—
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	64¢	34¢	+$0	—

Politics 81% +$4,048 $49,314 vol · 521 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	39¢	0¢	$-477	loss
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	No	56¢	94¢	+$34	win
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	90¢	100¢	+$22	win
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	78¢	100¢	+$20	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	82¢	84¢	+$20	win
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	91¢	94¢	+$9	win
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	86¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	84¢	88¢	+$6	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	38¢	16¢	+$6	win
Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	91¢	94¢	+$3	win

Tech 82% +$627 $13,320 vol · 84 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	59¢	62¢	+$55	win
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	78¢	92¢	+$5	win
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?	No	74¢	88¢	+$23	win
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	21¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	51¢	62¢	+$13	win
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	85¢	95¢	+$7	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	29¢	3¢	$-23	loss
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	25¢	28¢	+$7	win
Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next video?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-27	loss

Sports 94% +$611 $2,920 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nate Diaz fight Conor McGregor next?	No	78¢	97¢	+$10	win
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	52¢	54¢	+$48	win
Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	64¢	62¢	+$2	win
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$11	win
Pelicans vs. Pistons	Pelicans	24¢	0¢	$-122	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will JD Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during Michigan visit?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Timberwolves vs. Thunder	Thunder	53¢	100¢	+$0	—
Magic vs. Grizzlies	Magic	3¢	0¢	+$20	win
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	44¢	100¢	+$112	win

Geopolitics 76% +$577 $21,142 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	87¢	91¢	+$2	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	57¢	0¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	65¢	30¢	$-14	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	46¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	79¢	84¢	+$9	win
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	74¢	55¢	$-14	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	86¢	0¢	$-33	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	57¢	0¢	+$15	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	74¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	93¢	97¢	+$10	win

Elections 100% +$129 $1,516 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	32¢	0¢	+$18	win
Will Bill Ackman say "Election" during the X Space event on November 18?	No	32¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Kamala Harris say "Election" or "Elected" during Colbert show on July 31?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$3	win
Turkey snap presidential election called before July?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$20 $185 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$4	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 100% +$13 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	No	66¢	100¢	+$13	win

Weather 89% $-10 $1,237 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	No	48¢	0¢	+$103	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will a hurricane form by September 30?	No	9¢	0¢	+$20	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$1	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will a hurricane form by August 31?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-230	loss

Culture 50% $-25 $72 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$2	win

Mentions 60% $-89 $1,179 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?	No	22¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?	No	44¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?	No	82¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?	No	84¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?	No	75¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Finance 80% $-201 $4,966 vol · 80 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	44¢	48¢	+$44	win
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	30¢	30¢	$-8	loss
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	8¢	0¢	$-505	loss
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Coca-Cola say "Dairy" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?	No	68¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Netflix say "Partnership" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	No	81¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will BlackRock say "Record AUM" during earnings call?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Bank of America say "CashPro" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 67% $-1,034 $12,264 vol · 73 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	73¢	84¢	+$45	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	72¢	78¢	+$16	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	No	78¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	62¢	0¢	$-329	loss
Will Melania say "Community" 3+ times during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-160	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	+$184	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	5¢	0¢	$-40	loss