Win rate
43.8%
14 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-17
realized $-905 · unrealized $887
Portfolio
$887
volume $191,703
Predictions
49
1.8/day · avg $3,912
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 67% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
Economy 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
Other 35% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,730 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $3,630 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $3,506 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $1,902 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 2.1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $22 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $864 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $38 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,814 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 3¢ | $-32 | $513 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $3,509 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | $1,731 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | $33 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $73 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.8¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $2,643 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $953 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97.0¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $1,908 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $73 | 13/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 94¢ | +$22 | $954 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.4¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $1,813 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,740 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.8¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $867 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $742 | 12/07/2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $867 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $68 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.4¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $869 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $145 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.1¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $1,684 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $868 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,733 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $866 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $34 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $865 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 96.9¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $866 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $867 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | $27 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | $167 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 8¢ | +$5 | $144 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | $4,185 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 36.7¢ | 39¢ | +$2 | $1,144 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 94.5¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $1,821 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $864 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $316 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $35 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.3¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,731 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $955 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $83 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $865 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $866 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,774 | 07/11/2028 |