Win rate
41.7%
10 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$-48
realized $-1,120 · unrealized $1,073
Portfolio
$1,073
volume $209,521
Predictions
42
1.6/day · avg $4,989
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 23¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 40% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Politics 25% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 33% $-59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (45)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,719 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $983 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $48 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $334 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $865 | 30/04/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $4,708 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | $-17 | $2,092 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $990 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 24.6¢ | 23¢ | +$20 | $603 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,048 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 86.6¢ | 99¢ | $-18 | $985 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94.5¢ | 93¢ | $-59 | $8,537 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 4¢ | +$2 | $62 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.6¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $1,073 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $83 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,049 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $987 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $9,402 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 11¢ | $-1 | $140 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | $213 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,977 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.1¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $1,924 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 8¢ | $-2 | $185 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 4¢ | +$1 | $51 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $275 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $73 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,073 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 2¢ | +$28 | $115 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,704 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | No | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $113 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $4,703 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.4¢ | 27¢ | +$3 | $750 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 17¢ | +$2 | $321 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $24 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $27 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $805 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,065 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.9¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $984 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $984 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,800 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82.9¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $968 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $78 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $982 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $1,065 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $45 | 07/11/2028 |