Win rate
95.5%
420 W / 20 L
Total PnL
$-1,098
realized $-3,872 · unrealized $2,773
Portfolio
$2,773
volume $438,335
Predictions
516
4.5/day · avg $849
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 92% +$134
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 99% +$52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 100% +$49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 92% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T | No | 86¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 18? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 11? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 4? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Sports 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 12? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 10? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 2? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 19? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 18? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 13? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 94% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (META) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 8? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 83% $-200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-205 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 86% $-251
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-422 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 88% $-880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-886 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Guthrie" this week? (February 22) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Flamethrower" this week? (February 15) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $251 | 17/04/2026 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $213 | 17/04/2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.4¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | $209 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $721 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,099 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $319 | 15/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $159 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $498 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $799 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $599 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $311 | 14/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,293 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $599 | 13/04/2026 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $238 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $399 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 11/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,498 | 09/04/2026 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $501 | 09/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 09/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 8? | Down | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $598 | 08/04/2026 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $847 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $599 | 08/04/2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $482 | 08/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $450 | 08/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $58 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 7? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $197 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $606 | 07/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 98.3¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $295 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $842 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 5? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 5? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $159 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or higher on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $310 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 5? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 4? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $298 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will CD Nacional win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $199 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,547 | 03/04/2026 |