Win rate
38.9%
96 W / 151 L
Total PnL
$2,041
realized $-4,104 · unrealized $6,146
Portfolio
$6,146
volume $294,073
Predictions
267
3.2/day · avg $1,101
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 36% +$5,998
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-184 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-770 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
Politics 60% +$304
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40¢ | 39¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Esports 50% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | Natus Vincere | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | FUT Esports | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Elections 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67¢ | 65¢ | $-2 | loss |
Tech 0% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 12¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Finance 0% $-108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 7¢ | 6¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
Sports 45% $-1,177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 15¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$29 | win |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Jets | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Wild vs. Panthers | Panthers | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Thunder | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Wild vs. Lightning | Wild | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Jets vs. Penguins | Jets | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 38% $-1,486
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 61¢ | 81¢ | +$15 | win |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-679 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Senators | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$433 | win |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Senators | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Senators | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Senators | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 32% $-1,526
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 6¢ | 5¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 81¢ | 60¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 65¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? | USA | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$395 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 100¢ | +$709 | $117 | 15/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $585 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 16.1¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | $66 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $1,242 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 69.7¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $256 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $189 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $71 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $64 | 27/03/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets | Jets | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $26 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $54 | 27/03/2026 |
| Wild vs. Panthers | Panthers | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $24 | 26/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $52 | 25/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Thunder | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $62 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $222 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $60 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $340 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $281 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $35 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $179 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $24 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $25 | 24/03/2026 |
| Wild vs. Lightning | Wild | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 24/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Senators | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$433 | $737 | 23/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Penguins | Jets | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $24 | 21/03/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $34 | 21/03/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Sharks | Flyers | 48.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $71 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $61 | 21/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Utah | Utah | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $60 | 21/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Flames | Panthers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | $139 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $-184 | $199 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $282 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $188 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $53 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $28 | 20/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs | Hurricanes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $68 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $26 | 20/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Capitals | Devils | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 20/03/2026 |
| Stars vs. Avalanche | Stars | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$210 | $159 | 19/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Senators | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $90 | 19/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $54 | 19/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $62 | 19/03/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Golden Knights | Sabres | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $101 | 18/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Rangers | Devils | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $27 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $250 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $36 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $26 | 18/03/2026 |