Win rate
70.0%
91 W / 39 L
Total PnL
$-10,986
realized $-18,190 · unrealized $7,204
Portfolio
$7,204
volume $302,063
Predictions
189
1.9/day · avg $1,598
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 40% +$6,438
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$14 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-1,425 | loss |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Nets | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-249 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$493 | win |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Eagles | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-1,443 | loss |
| Cardinals vs. Buccaneers | Buccaneers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Weather 100% +$1,884
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1,884 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$7 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Culture 100% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Finance 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$7 | win |
Other 43% $-783
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Economy 0% $-1,200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
Esports 61% $-6,501
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | 100 Thieves | 66¢ | 66¢ | +$3 | win |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | LOUD | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | win |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | 100 Thieves | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$232 | win |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Paper Rex | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Team Envy | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-5,026 | loss |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Sentinels | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | G2 Esports | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-502 | loss |
| Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Fnatic | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | win |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-530 | loss |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | 100 Thieves | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$653 | win |
Crypto 88% $-6,581
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Up | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Heads | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$548 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-6,266 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 78.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,425 | $1,434 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | LOUD | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $6,421 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | 100 Thieves | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$232 | $492 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Paper Rex | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Team Envy | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | $-5,026 | $5,043 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Nets | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-249 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Sentinels | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | G2 Esports | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-502 | $502 | 11/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $104 | 10/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Fnatic | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | $150 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8,337 | $4,572 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $5,000 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $807 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $269 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $1,169 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $634 | 31/03/2026 |
| Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,080 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,884 | $5,044 | 27/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Up | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $230 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Down | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $30 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $330 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 25/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $418 | 23/03/2026 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-530 | $530 | 16/03/2026 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | 100 Thieves | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | +$653 | $1,592 | 14/02/2026 |
| Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | MIBR | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2,245 | $2,245 | 14/02/2026 |
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Heads | 50.1¢ | 100¢ | +$548 | $551 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$493 | $1,097 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 08/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $5,996 | 04/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 94.4¢ | 0¢ | $-6,266 | $6,266 | 04/02/2026 |
| Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$475 | $1,532 | 02/02/2026 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | G2 Esports | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $100 | 02/02/2026 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | Cloud9 | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $4,647 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $781 | 01/02/2026 |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | XLG Gaming | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 01/02/2026 |
| Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs | T1 | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $94 | 01/02/2026 |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Eagles | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,443 | $1,443 | 04/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $686 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $68 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | No | 85.7¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $60 | 31/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | $719 | 12/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 10PM ET | Down | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $856 | 12/12/2025 |