Win rate
72.2%
1027 W / 396 L
Total PnL
$13,362
realized $1,724 · unrealized $11,639
Portfolio
$11,639
volume $724,204
Predictions
2,063
26.9/day · avg $351
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 51% +$5,172
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 30¢ | $-345 | loss |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 12¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 30¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 46¢ | 18¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 62¢ | 26¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 73¢ | 31¢ | $-58 | loss |
Sports 72% +$3,256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Athletics | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
Politics 67% +$3,204
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 83¢ | 60¢ | $-148 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 69¢ | 60¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
Economy 80% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State | Ole Miss | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Mississippi State vs. Missouri | Missouri | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | win |
| Georgia vs. Mississippi State | Georgia | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Culture 83% +$106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Tech 91% +$89
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Finance 77% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
| Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2? | Up | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? | Down | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2? | Down | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Elections 83% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 71¢ | 84¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 59¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 34¢ | 40¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Weather 84% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 6? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or higher on March 28? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on March 24? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Esports 73% $-130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | ESC Gaming | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Heroic | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Spirit | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B | Nigma Galaxy | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | BC.Game Esports | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | 1WIN | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | 1WIN | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | PARIVISION | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Crypto 76% $-1,078
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | Yes | 83¢ | 12¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Down | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-176 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Down | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Other 75% $-2,873
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 33¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | loss |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 32¢ | $-51 | loss |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 26¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 62¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$10 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 70.4¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026? | Yes | 92.9¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $310 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 71.0¢ | 72¢ | +$2 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 77.0¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 71.4¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 82.7¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17? | No | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026? | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 16? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | $1,300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Avalanche | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Wild | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | ESC Gaming | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Heroic | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $255 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | Yes | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,691 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 70.4¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $374 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | LOUD | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $500 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Kraken | Kings | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $500 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $210 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Hurricanes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sinja Kraus vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $154 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch | Tamara Korpatsch | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $250 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 74.1¢ | 0¢ | $-531 | $700 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $1,200 | 13/04/2026 |