Win rate
32.1%
143 W / 302 L
Total PnL
$1,860
realized $-5,882 · unrealized $7,742
Portfolio
$7,742
volume $1,022,197
Predictions
649
23.6/day · avg $1,575
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$218
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 38¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-282 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 46 million views on day 2? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Tech 33% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 74¢ | 28¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-216
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-216 | loss |
Politics 31% $-939
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | loss |
Mentions 31% $-4,979
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | -4¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 1¢ | $-283 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $459 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $460 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $275 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-89 | $509 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $109 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $-218 | $254 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $197 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-292 | $302 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,852 | $2,678 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 1¢ | $-283 | $403 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $246 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $228 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 47.8¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $727 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 20.6¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $275 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $275 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $275 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | $212 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $86 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $329 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $330 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $279 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 24.4¢ | 0¢ | $-592 | $606 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $-216 | $225 | 14/04/2026 |