ogi250

Other 67% +$143 $2,049 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	64¢	36¢	+$12	win
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	29¢	29¢	+$0	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?	No	60¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	74¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Sports 100% +$14 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	64¢	100¢	+$14	win

Geopolitics 33% $-44 $471 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	55¢	60¢	+$3	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	78¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	41¢	44¢	+$4	win
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	66¢	0¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	23¢	30¢	$-20	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Politics 33% $-45 $145 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	43¢	42¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	29¢	26¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-46	loss