Win rate
79.0%
645 W / 171 L
Total PnL
$-16,634
realized $-18,987 · unrealized $2,353
Portfolio
$2,353
volume $7,792,595
Predictions
928
3.4/day · avg $8,397
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 83% +$10,334
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | +$116 | win |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,973 | win |
| Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1,409 | win |
| Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$865 | win |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1,451 | loss |
| Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-4,653 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5,050 | win |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4,074 | win |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,875 | win |
Economy 89% +$4,172
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$185 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-1,884 | loss |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Murray State Racers | Murray State Racers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5,556 | win |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$3,242
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$380 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 76% +$1,737
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1,047 | win |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$258 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | win |
| Will Rabby launch a token in 2025? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-2,531 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$217 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 18¢ | $-972 | loss |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$4,518 | win |
Esports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3) | NIP | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 50% $-934
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$2,557 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-3,122 | loss |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-222 | loss |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 76% $-1,470
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump's Christmas Wishlist Parlay | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$450 | win |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-284 | loss |
| Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in November? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Austin Peay Governors vs. Wyoming Cowboys | Wyoming Cowboys | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$727 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | win |
Tech 55% $-5,211
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-217 | loss |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-1,301 | loss |
| Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-2,722 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$654 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$330 | win |
| Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-1,840 | loss |
| Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-372 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Other 79% $-9,968
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$79 | win |
| Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 95¢ | 45¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-1,096 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-2,803 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 80% $-18,509
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$4 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$1,230 | win |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$1,214 | win |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$239 | win |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
| Spread: Heat (-17.5) | Wizards | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | win |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | Pelicans | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$520 | $1,480 | 17/04/2026 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $72 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) | Sinner | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz | Valentin Vacherot | 58.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,682 | $2,368 | 16/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5) | Minaur | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$749 | $811 | 16/04/2026 |
| Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2,261 | $2,272 | 16/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 83.5¢ | 0¢ | $-734 | $738 | 16/04/2026 |
| Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Baez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 85.3¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | $1,032 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $86 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$930 | $2,070 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | Andrey Rublev | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $785 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-253 | $253 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Tatiana Suarez | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,230 | $1,770 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,214 | $1,315 | 12/04/2026 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | No | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$575 | $1,842 | 12/04/2026 |
| OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | +$239 | $841 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | No | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $158 | 12/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovic | Jessica Pegula | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,051 | $1,091 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,015 | $3,060 | 07/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | $17,361 | 06/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner | Jiri Lehecka | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-916 | $916 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-17.5) | Wizards | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | $401 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5) | Illinois Fighting Illini | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | $306 | 04/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-900 | $900 | 03/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,386 | $1,763 | 02/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5) | Sinner | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$985 | $4,189 | 02/04/2026 |
| Tiafoe vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5 | Under | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$239 | $316 | 02/04/2026 |
| Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-415 | $415 | 01/04/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5) | Rybakina | 45.6¢ | 0¢ | $-912 | $912 | 01/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova | Karolina Muchova | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,441 | $1,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$305 | $23,636 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $227 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $597 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,502 | $1,502 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open? | Yes | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3,322 | $8,426 | 30/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) | Sabalenka | 66.1¢ | 100¢ | +$679 | $1,321 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $494 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $405 | 30/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 30/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | $450 | 29/03/2026 |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 29/03/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5) | Purdue Boilermakers | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | $306 | 29/03/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | Pelicans | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 29/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Korda (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,229 | $1,229 | 29/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,097 | $4,358 | 28/03/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | 76ers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$384 | $416 | 28/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$248 | $302 | 28/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5) | Alcaraz | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,929 | $5,426 | 27/03/2026 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) | Cavaliers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$294 | $306 | 27/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Kouame (+1.5) | Lehecka | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | $384 | 27/03/2026 |