0x332131 — polywallet

Win rate

62.5%

5 W / 3 L

Total PnL

$541

realized $-50 · unrealized $592

Portfolio

$592

volume $7,242

Predictions

8

0.2/day · avg $905

PnL history

Details

Joined	04/03/2026
Last activity	17/04/2026
Profiled at	17/04/2026
Qualified	yes

Category breakdown

Geopolitics 50% +$416 $1,173 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	56¢	76¢	+$159	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	24¢	16¢	$-4	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	84¢	100¢	+$24	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Elections 100% +$154 $1,175 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64¢	66¢	+$5	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$149	win

Recent Trades (8)

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Volume	Settled
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	41.0¢	100¢	$-30	$37	15/04/2026
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	73.9¢	100¢	+$149	$425	12/04/2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	84.2¢	100¢	+$24	$139	31/03/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	50.7¢	100¢	+$300	$344	01/01/1970
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	37.0¢	0¢	$-32	$70	01/01/1970
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	23.5¢	16¢	$-4	$150	21/04/2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	56.0¢	76¢	+$159	$433	31/05/2026
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	64.0¢	66¢	+$5	$750	07/06/2026