BeefSlayer

Weather 78% +$45,354 $274,423 vol · 719 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 18?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?	Yes	7¢	29¢	+$202	win
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 18?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$231	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 18?	No	86¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 18?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	No	69¢	100¢	+$547	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$410	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Other 86% +$1,021 $10,703 vol · 64 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	3¢	4¢	+$4	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in March?	No	86¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$162	win
Will Marques Brownlee's next video get less than 2.0 million views on day 1?	No	66¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Tim Walz say "Somali" or "Somalia" 5+ times during his press conference on January 5?	No	89¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NYC record precipitation on exactly 11 days in December?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$19	win

Tech 100% +$133 $256 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	91¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	38¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$34	win

Sports 87% +$65 $5,300 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	86¢	96¢	+$20	win
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?	No	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Josh Allen lead the NFL in passing yards this season?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?	No	85¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Jayden Daniels be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5	Under	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Francis Ellis win the 2025 Internet Invitational?	No	81¢	100¢	+$53	win
Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5	Under	35¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 35.5	Over	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 67% +$50 $470 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	54¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-11	loss

Economy 100% +$15 $140 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State	Ole Miss	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win

Finance 100% +$7 $75 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?	No	37¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win

Mentions 0% $-28 $28 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Crypto 50% $-60 $146 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	69¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?	No	21¢	0¢	$-76	loss

Politics 62% $-80 $6,482 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	24¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	20¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Leavitt say "West Virginia" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	91¢	0¢	$-152	loss
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	No	59¢	0¢	$-118	loss
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?	No	35¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?	No	19¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?	No	16¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Trump say "Kiev" or "Kyiv" this week? (December 8 - 14)	No	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$87	win

Geopolitics 50% $-81 $812 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-0	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	77¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	93¢	100¢	+$6	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	75¢	100¢	+$17	win

Culture 0% $-154 $154 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-154	loss